Graph of the Strength of the Real Estate Market Sept 2012

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Graph of the Strength of the Real Estate Market Sept 2012

Postby silverman » Wed Oct 03, 2012 5:24 pm

Graph of the Strength of the Real Estate Market as of the end of September 2012
for the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB)


Image

Above graph was compiled by using figures published by the FVREB

All property types (incl. assignments and lots)
Sales: 857
Active Listings: 10,348
Sales to Active Listings ratio: 8.3% or 12.1 MOI

New Listings: 2,544
Sales to New Listings ratio: 33.7%

The FVREB provides a breakdown for different property types

Houses (incl. mobiles)
Sales / Active Listings: 414/4,282....9.7% or 10.3 MOI

Townhouses
155/1,537 ...10.1% or 9.9 MOI

Condos
154/1,904 ... 8.1% or 12.4 MOI

Houses + Townhouses + Condos
723/7,723 ... 9.4% or 10.7 MOI

How the Sales to Active Listings Ratio (SALR) affects prices
According to Cameron Muir, BCREA Chief Economist, this is a good rule of thumb:
Home prices are typically pulled downward when the SALR is below 10% (or more than 10 MOI) and pushed upward when above 25% or less than 4 MOI.

Home prices tend to exhibit little upward or downward pressure when the SALR is between 15% and 20%. (6.7 to 5 MOI)
At this level a relative balance exists between supply and demand. Consideration should be given to the direction of the SALR.
A quick check of the SALR over the previous several months can help you understand if the market conditions are holding steady, deteriorating or improving
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silverman
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